JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
40-64 yes
ENTRY
28¢
SOLD AT
23¢
CALLER
@_varsha7
PLACED
2026-10-18 · 06:15 UTC
Nº 0005603R
LOSS
-18%
297872404550
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5603 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1194896 Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026? 40-64 Yes If elon still keeps pace low for a day, or avg around 30-35 too then this range looks for feasible #nfa”
_varsha7 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
40-64 yes @ 28¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 23¢
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 23¢, -5¢ on the 28¢ entry.
-0.18uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 23¢)
Verification details
- Message id
1561261297872404550open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1194896jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link; side matched to outcome of "Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?"; side inferred from the linked event: only "40-64 yes" is referenced outside the matchup phrase; entry 28¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1561643303756234773, posted 2026-10-19T07:32:57.545Z): entry 28c -> exit 23c (-5.0c realized); CLOB history 0.23 at 2026-10-19T07:32:13.000Z (44s from post); "#close" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 23c -> 23c (taker bought the other outcome at 77c, which is this one sold at 23c, 24s from the post)
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5603), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- 40-64 yes @ 28¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)