← Leaderboard/Call #5574

JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2

VERIFIED CALL

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

BetBoom Team (Map 2)

ENTRY

52¢

SOLD AT

47¢

CALLER

@ethanbigbrother

PLACED

2026-10-17 · 18:37 UTC

Nº 0005574R

LOSS

-10%

674491351090

COMMUNITY.JUP.AG

Post on XSave

LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5574 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Said · before resolutionOct 17, 18:37 UTC · timestamped in Discordevent started Oct 17, 17:00 UTC

“Esport CS2 Stage: Thunderpick world championship BO3 Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: BetBoom recovered from a 4–10 deficit on Nuke, eventually winning 16–13 in overtime. They then lost Dust2 but regrouped to win the deciding Mirage 13–11.AND smoked legacy Forecast: betboom map2 52c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1201748 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe price the caller wrote

BetBoom Team (Map 2) @ 52¢

flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 47¢

Entry 52¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.

ResolvedOct 17, 18:38 UTC · caller’s sale

Closed early by the caller at 47¢, -5¢ on the 52¢ entry.

-0.10uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 47¢)

Verification details

Message id: 1561085674491351090 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market: POLY-1201748 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note: auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs"; entry is the caller's stated 52¢; the order book at the post moment reads 48.5¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 5.8¢ a minute and we read it 27s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 48.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 49¢ 0s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via: closed early via #close (msg 1561085878183526491, posted 2026-10-17T18:37:56.932Z): entry 52c -> exit 47c (-5.0c realized); CLOB history 0.485 at 2026-10-17T18:37:39.000Z (17s from post); "#close" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 48.5c -> 47c (taker sold this outcome at 47c, 68s from the post)

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5574), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother

rank #2 · season 2

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The market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade: No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
Starts: Oct 17, 17:00 UTC
Caller’s price: BetBoom Team (Map 2) @ 52¢
Resolution: caller’s sale (closed early)

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