JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?
82000 no
ENTRY
22¢
SOLD AT
91¢
CALLER
@Godly_sry
PLACED
2026-10-16 · 14:27 UTC
Nº 0005470R
WIN
+314%
490550509598
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #5470 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord
“Bitcoin above ___ on October 16? https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159739 82000 no @21c I am Expecting a dump on btc before we go into weekend ,ppi wasn't good + stock market dumps, expecting a dump on nasdaq as well #nfa”
Godly_sry in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
82000 no @ 22¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 91¢
Entry 22¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 21¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 91¢, +69¢ on the 22¢ entry.
+3.14uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 91¢)
Verification details
- Message id
1560660490550509598open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1159739jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?"; entry 22¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 21¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1560674134403318022, posted 2026-10-16T15:21:49.565Z): entry 22c -> exit 91c (+69.0c realized); CLOB history 0.89 at 2026-10-16T15:21:30.000Z (19s from post); "#close" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 89c -> 91c (taker sold this outcome at 91c, 2s from the post)
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5470), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Ask at post
- 82000 no @ 22¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)