← Leaderboard/Call #5455

JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2

VERIFIED CALL

Dota 2: Mena Warriors v CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Mena Warriors (Game 1)

ENTRY

42¢

RESULT

-100%

CALLER

@BALI69

PLACED

2026-10-16 · 11:25 UTC

Nº 0005455R

LOSS

-100%

770841755780

COMMUNITY.JUP.AG

Post on XSave

LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5455 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Dota 2: Mena Warriors v CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Said · before resolutionOct 16, 11:25 UTC · timestamped in Discordevent started Oct 16, 10:00 UTC

“Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs CyberHero (BO3) European Dota has its own unique style—they pick the same drafts as top-tier teams, but play them at a different pace. Best of luck!!! Picking Mena Warrios Game 1 Winner 42c #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1194561”

BALI69 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe price the caller wrote

Mena Warriors (Game 1) @ 42¢

flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way

Entry 42¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.

ResolvedOct 16, 11:33 UTC · market settlement

Lost: the market resolved against this pick.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Verification details

Message id: 1560614770841755780 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market: POLY-1194561 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note: auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link; side matched to outcome of "Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A"; boarded from review queue (was: side "the same drafts as top-tier teams" does not match event "Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A" (POLY-1194561)); the written side "the same drafts as top-tier teams" matched no market here, so it was read from the event: only "Mena Warriors (Game 1)" is referenced outside the matchup phrase; entry is the caller's stated 42¢; the order book at the post moment reads 39.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 39.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 41¢ 1s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via: gamma POLY-1194561 "Game 1 Winner" outcome "Mena Warriors" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5455), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

BALI69

rank #15 · season 2

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The market

Dota 2: Mena Warriors v CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade: No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
Starts: Oct 16, 10:00 UTC
Caller’s price: Mena Warriors (Game 1) @ 42¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

Open the market ↗