JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
LoL: FURIA Esports v MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
MVK Esports (Game 1)
ENTRY
13¢
RESULT
+669%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-15 · 23:36 UTC
Nº 0005425R
WIN
+669%
284999209150
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Esports · LoLCall #5425 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
LoL: FURIA Esports v MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Esport LOL Stage: worlds BO5 Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: MVK beat GAM Esports 3–2 in a recent series. That shows they can compete in a long, high-pressure match and find ways to close out games. They need that same resilience against FURIA, especially if the series goes to Game 4 or Game 5. Forecast: mvk game1 13c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167258 #nfa”
ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
MVK Esports (Game 1) @ 13¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 13¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for MVK Esports (Game 1).
+6.69uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 13 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1560436284999209150open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1167258jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In"; entry is the caller's stated 13¢; the order book at the post moment reads 35¢ (the trade tape at post time (35¢, 148s away; the book quoted 12¢, which nobody was paying)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 13.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); the order book read 12¢ at boarding, 23.0¢ away from what this market actually traded at 148s from the post (35¢), so the trade is the price; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 10¢ 2s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1167258 "Game 1 Winner" outcome "MVK Esports" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5425), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
LoL: FURIA Esports v MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Caller’s price
- MVK Esports (Game 1) @ 13¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
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