JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
AS Roma v Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF
ENTRY
50¢
SOLD AT
3¢
CALLER
@lucas_btc_
PLACED
2026-10-14 · 12:56 UTC
Nº 0005286R
LOSS
-94%
880500113458
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5286 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
AS Roma v Real Madrid CF
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“sports AS Roma vs Real Madrid CF I'm picking Real Madrid CF wins 50c Even away from home I believe Madrid have the edge in quality. Their attack has plenty of threat and I expect them to take the initiative and keep putting pressure on Roma throughout the match #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114980”
lucas_btc_ in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Real Madrid CF @ 50¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 3¢
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 3¢, -47¢ on the 50¢ entry.
-0.94uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 3¢)
Verification details
- Message id
1559912880500113458open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1114980jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1560026931930464256, posted 2026-10-14T20:30:04.471Z): entry 50c -> exit 3c (-47.0c realized); CLOB history 0.045 at 2026-10-14T20:29:24.000Z (40s from post); "#close https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114980" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 4.5c -> 3c (taker sold this outcome at 3c, 0s from the post)
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5286), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
AS Roma v Real Madrid CF
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Real Madrid CF @ 50¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)
More from lucas_btc_
SS Lazio v Cagliari CalcioSS Lazio · Nov 1, 2026@ 66¢WIN