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← Leaderboard/Call #5286
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
AS Roma v Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF
ENTRY
50¢
SOLD AT
3¢
CALLER
@lucas_btc_
PLACED
2026-10-14 · 12:56 UTC
Nº 0005286R
LOSS
-94%
880500113458
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5286 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

AS Roma v Real Madrid CF

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“sports AS Roma vs Real Madrid CF I'm picking Real Madrid CF wins 50c Even away from home I believe Madrid have the edge in quality. Their attack has plenty of threat and I expect them to take the initiative and keep putting pressure on Roma throughout the match #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114980”

lucas_btc_ in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Real Madrid CF @ 50¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 3¢
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 3¢, -47¢ on the 50¢ entry.
-0.94uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 3¢)
Verification details
Message id
1559912880500113458 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1114980 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
closed early via #close (msg 1560026931930464256, posted 2026-10-14T20:30:04.471Z): entry 50c -> exit 3c (-47.0c realized); CLOB history 0.045 at 2026-10-14T20:29:24.000Z (40s from post); "#close https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114980" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 4.5c -> 3c (taker sold this outcome at 3c, 0s from the post)

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5286), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

lucas_btc_
rank #7 · season 2
Profile →
+8.67u
profit
67–43
record
110
graded
form · last 10
The market
AS Roma v Real Madrid CF
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade
No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
Starts
Ask at post
Real Madrid CF @ 50¢
Resolution
caller’s sale (closed early)
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)