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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev v Alexander Bublik
Alexander Zverev
ENTRY
45¢
RESULT
+122%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-13 · 12:10 UTC
Nº 0005194R
WIN
+122%
729020821534
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #5194 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev v Alexander Bublik

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Shanghai ATP1000 Stage: R16 Confidence: 🟠 low risk (58%) Forecast: zverev 45c Reasoning: Zverev defeated Wu Yibing 6–4, 7–6(4) before beating Quentin Halys 6–4, 6–7(8), 6–3 to reach the fourth round. He has demonstrated that he can close out difficult matches even when an opponent pushes him into a deciding set. Mfer is good with them asce(s) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1175342 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
Alexander Zverev @ 45¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 45¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Alexander Zverev.
+1.22uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 45 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1559538729020821534 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1175342 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik"; entry is the caller's stated 45¢; the order book at the post moment reads 47.5¢ (mid at post time (the book moved 14.0¢ between the post and capture, so the live ask is not the ask you saw)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 47.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 41¢ 3s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via
gamma POLY-1175342 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik" outcome "Alexander Zverev" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5194), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
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The market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev v Alexander Bublik
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Caller’s price
Alexander Zverev @ 45¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)