JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
200-219 Yes
ENTRY
11¢
SOLD AT
0.5¢
CALLER
@_varsha7
PLACED
2026-10-13 · 10:02 UTC
Nº 0005186R
LOSS
-95%
541512761395
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5186 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1140914 Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? 200-219 Yes @11c He's been very active since few days and could slow down a bit now, with 3d left count at 136 I'm considering an avg 25/day #nfa”
_varsha7 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
200-219 Yes @ 11¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 0.5¢
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 0.5¢, -10.5¢ on the 11¢ entry.
-0.95uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 0.5¢)
Verification details
- Message id
1559506541512761395open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1140914jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1559797679155056683, posted 2026-10-14T05:19:06.350Z): entry 11c -> exit 0.5c (-10.5c realized); trade tape at the close: taker sold this outcome at 1c, 104s from the post; "#close"
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5186), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- 200-219 Yes @ 11¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)