JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Real Oviedo v SD Eibar
Real Oviedo No
ENTRY
63¢
SOLD AT
12¢
CALLER
@crypto_strategy
PLACED
2026-10-12 · 15:32 UTC
Nº 0005124R
LOSS
-81%
278867697724
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5124 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Real Oviedo v SD Eibar
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Real Oviedo vs. SD Eibar Pick: NO Real Oviedo @ 62¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1102019 My Reason: Real Oviedo has not performed well in its last five matches; furthermore, tonight they host Eibar—the Spanish second-division league leaders—making a victory a formidable challenge for them. #NFA”
crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Real Oviedo No @ 63¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 12¢
Entry 63¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 62¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 12¢, -51¢ on the 63¢ entry.
-0.81uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 12¢)
Verification details
- Message id
1559227278867697724open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1102019jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Real Oviedo vs. SD Eibar"; entry 63¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 62¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1559255962064519290, posted 2026-10-12T17:26:30.931Z): entry 63c -> exit 12c (-51.0c realized); CLOB history 0.125 at 2026-10-12T17:26:22.000Z (8s from post); "#close @ 14¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1102019" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 12.5c -> 12c (taker bought the other outcome at 88c, which is this one sold at 12c, 58s from the post)
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5124), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Real Oviedo v SD Eibar
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Real Oviedo No @ 63¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)
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