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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
ENTRY
60¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-12 · 11:38 UTC
Nº 0005110R
LOSS
-100%
330898743436
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #5110 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Shanghai ATP1000 Stage: R34 Confidence: 🟠 low risk (58%) Forecast: carlos 60c Reasoning: He has beaten Bergs before and will do it again.😅 Their previous meeting was at Tokyo in September 2025, where Alcaraz won 6–4, 6–3. That gives him a positive head-to-head result and some experience of Bergs's playing style. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165453 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Carlos Alcaraz @ 60¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
Message id
1559168330898743436 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1165453 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz"; entry 61¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 60¢); entry checked against the trade tape: entry 61¢ -> 60¢, the tape paid 60¢ at the post moment (caller stated 60¢) (2s after the post)
Graded via
gamma POLY-1165453 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5110), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
The market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade
No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
Starts
Ask at post
Carlos Alcaraz @ 60¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)