Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner
“Shanghai ATP1000 Stage: Winner Confidence: 🟠 low risk (58%) Forecast: carlos 43c Reasoning: Alcaraz won the Japan Open on October 6, defeating Jiri Lehecka 7–6(4), 6–4 in the final.Winning a tournament immediately before Shanghai can give him confidence, rhythm, and belief in his game. also with sinner out for the year, i don't think he has a tuff H2H competitor moving forward. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1144193 #nfa”
Verification details
- Message id
1559136203780005969open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1144193jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner"; NOT COUNTED: market not trading: the book was stopped when this call landed: the game was under way and the order book had carried no trade for ten minutes while the price feed sat frozen on 42.5¢, so there was no price to take at the moment it was made; counted after the book re-opened: it stopped trading at 43¢ and started again 156 minutes later at 43¢, so the gap hid no move and the entry stands; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post; stopped-book ruling withdrawn Oct 12: an outright market days into its tournament is not a game in progress, so the call counts at its boarded 43c
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1144193 "Carlos Alcaraz" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5100), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Carlos Alcaraz @ 43¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement