JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Cricket World Cup League 2: Canada v Nepal
Canada
ENTRY
47¢
SOLD AT
12¢
CALLER
@grey736
PLACED
2026-10-11 · 08:56 UTC
Nº 0004989R
LOSS
-74%
270988890152
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #4989 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Cricket World Cup League 2: Canada v Nepal
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Cricket:Nepal vs Canada Canada win @45¢ Canada has scored around 230 in their last match vs Oman ,Batting first 6 out of 7 games have won here.Nepal can be winner here.But I think Canada has slight advantage here if there openers perform well.They can easily chase something around.230. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1131001 #nfa”
grey736 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Canada @ 47¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 12¢
Entry 47¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 45¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 12¢, -35¢ on the 47¢ entry.
-0.74uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 12¢)
Verification details
- Message id
1558765270988890152open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1131001jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Cricket World Cup League 2: Canada vs Nepal"; entry 47¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 45¢); NOT COUNTED: market not trading: the book was stopped when this call landed: the game was under way and the order book had carried no trade for ten minutes while the price feed sat frozen on 44¢, so there was no price to take at the moment it was made; stopped-book ruling withdrawn Oct 11: the book was live (its midpoint kept moving), so the call counts at its boarded 47c; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1558823980679299095, posted 2026-10-11T12:49:58.543Z): entry 47c -> exit 12c (-35.0c realized); trade tape at the close: taker bought the other outcome at 88c, which is this one sold at 12c, 48s from the post; "#close"
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4989), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Cricket World Cup League 2: Canada v Nepal
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Canada @ 47¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)