Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton v Arthur Gea
“Shanghai ATP500 Stage: R32 Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (58%) Forecast: ben shelton 45c Reasoning: Big first serve: Can produce aces and unreturnable serves. Left-handed angle: Can pull a right-handed opponent wide, opening up the court. Shorter points: Helps him conserve energy and maintain control of his service games. 2. Excellent performance in his https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162946 #nfa”
Verification details
- Message id
1558709172651163728open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1162946jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea"; entry is the caller's stated 45¢; the order book at the post moment reads 75¢ (the trade tape at post time (75¢, 161s away; the book quoted 46¢, which nobody was paying)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 45.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); the order book read 46¢ at boarding, 29.0¢ away from what this market actually traded at 161s from the post (75¢), so the trade is the price; entry checked against the trade tape: entry 45¢ -> 46¢, the tape paid 46¢ at the post moment (caller stated 45¢) (5s before the post)
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1162946 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea" outcome "Ben Shelton" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4981), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Ben Shelton @ 46¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement