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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
MOUZ
ENTRY
18¢
RESULT
+456%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 20:39 UTC
Nº 0004959R
WIN
+456%
674810945668
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Esports · Counter-StrikeCall #4959 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Counter-Strike: MOUZ v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Esport CS2 Stage: ESL pro league Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: MOUZ entered the semifinal after winning all four of their series in the event without dropping a map: Beat M80 2–0. Beat FURIA 2–0 in the Swiss stage. Beat Team Spirit 2–0. Beat FURIA 2–0 again in the quarterfinals. That is eight consecutive map wins in ESL Pro League Season 24. Forecast: mouz 18c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160802 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
MOUZ @ 18¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for MOUZ.
+4.56uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 18 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1558579674810945668 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1160802 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs"; entry 31¢ from the market price at the post moment (price-history mid 33s before the post): the caller's stated 18¢ sits below where the market was, and a stated figure may worsen an entry, never beat the tape; entry checked against the trade tape: entry 31¢ -> 18¢, the tape paid 17¢ at the post moment, better than the caller's stated 18¢, and a call never pays more than the caller stated (1s before the post)
Graded via
gamma POLY-1160802 "Match Winner" outcome "MOUZ" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4959), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
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The market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
MOUZ @ 18¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)