JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Spirit (Map 1)
ENTRY
17¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 18:08 UTC
Nº 0004943R
LOSS
-100%
653306773586
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Esports · Counter-StrikeCall #4943 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Counter-Strike: MOUZ v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Esport CS2 Stage: ESL pro league Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: Spirit already beat MOUZ recently Spirit defeated MOUZ 3–1 in the BLAST Open Porto grand final on September 6. That is valuable evidence because this is essentially the same core matchup. Forecast: spirit map1 17c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160802 #nfa”
ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
Spirit (Map 1) @ 17¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 17¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
- Message id
1558541653306773586open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1160802jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs"; entry is the caller's stated 17¢; the order book at the post moment reads 17¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 3.0¢ a minute and we read it 30s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 18.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 17¢ 13s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1160802 "Map 1 Winner" outcome "Spirit" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4943), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Caller’s price
- Spirit (Map 1) @ 17¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
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