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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Dota 2: PARIVISION v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Aurora (Game 2)
ENTRY
23¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 16:01 UTC
Nº 0004922R
LOSS
-100%
727313436742
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #4922 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Dota 2: PARIVISION v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Esport dota2 Stage: Blast slam iii BO3 Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: If PARIVISION draft an aggressive lineup, Aurora can defend towers, avoid unnecessary engagements and wait for their cores to reach key item timings. A controlled mid-to-late game could give Aurora opportunities to turn the match around. Forecast: aurora game2 22c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1161335 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Aurora (Game 2) @ 23¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
Message id
1558509727313436742 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1161335 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs"; entry is the caller's stated 22¢; the order book at the post moment reads 22.2¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 7.1¢ a minute and we read it 22s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 21.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: entry 22¢ -> 23¢, the tape paid 23¢ at the post moment (caller stated 22¢) (1s before the post)
Graded via
gamma POLY-1161335 "Game 2 Winner" outcome "Aurora" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4922), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
The market
Dota 2: PARIVISION v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Aurora (Game 2) @ 23¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)