JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
Draw Yes
ENTRY
53¢
RESULT
+89%
CALLER
@vince.
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 15:16 UTC
Nº 0004912R
WIN
+89%
572813602982
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #4912 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München Draw Yes 50c #nfa High risk 6/10 A draw between Augsburg and Bayern Munich is possible if Augsburg manage to stay compact defensively, limit Bayern’s chances in the final third, and take advantage of counterattacks and set pieces. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089281”
vince. in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Draw Yes @ 53¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 53¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 50¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Draw Yes.
+0.89uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 53 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1558498572813602982open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1089281jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München"; entry 53¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 50¢); entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (52¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1089281 "Draw (FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München)" outcome "Yes" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4912), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- Traded on Jupiter
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Draw Yes @ 53¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
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