← Leaderboard/Call #4897

JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2

VERIFIED CALL

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp v Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen

ENTRY

20¢

RESULT

-100%

CALLER

@ethanbigbrother

PLACED

2026-10-10 · 13:17 UTC

Nº 0004897R

LOSS

-100%

430645170206

COMMUNITY.JUP.AG

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LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #4897 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp v Alex Michelsen

Said · before resolutionOct 10, 13:17 UTC · timestamped in Discordevent started Oct 10, 11:45 UTC

“Shanghai ATP500 Stage: R64 Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (58%) Forecast: Michelson 20c Reasoning: Michelsen reached the US Open quarter-finals in September 2026, beating Brandon Nakashima and Tomas Martín Etcheverry along the way. That run demonstrated his ability to beat botic https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154551 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe price the caller wrote

Alex Michelsen @ 20¢

flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way

Entry 20¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.

ResolvedOct 10, 13:22 UTC · market settlement

Lost: the market resolved against this pick.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Verification details

Message id: 1558468430645170206 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market: POLY-1154551 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note: auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen"; entry is the caller's stated 20¢; the order book at the post moment reads 17.5¢ (mid at post time (the book moved 8.0¢ between the post and capture, so the live ask is not the ask you saw)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 17.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 19¢ 10s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via: gamma POLY-1154551 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen" outcome "Alex Michelsen" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4897), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother

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The market

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp v Alex Michelsen

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts: Oct 10, 11:45 UTC
Caller’s price: Alex Michelsen @ 20¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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