JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Fed Decision in October?
No change yes
ENTRY
84¢
RESULT
+19%
CALLER
@particularlystupidusername
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 09:51 UTC
Nº 0004874R
WIN
+19%
570428956744
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #4874 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Fed Decision in October?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-606422 I think that "no change" is the most likely option. The markets are currently pricing this in and it would make sense to keep rates at this level at the moment. #nfa”
particularlystupidusername in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
No change yes @ 84¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for No change yes.
+0.19uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 84 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1558416570428956744open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-606422jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link; side matched to outcome of "Fed Decision in October?"; side inferred from the linked event: only "No change yes" is referenced outside the matchup phrase; entry 84¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-606422 "No change" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4874), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
particularlystupidusername
did not qualify · season 2
+0.19u
profit
1–0
record
1
graded
form · last 10
The market
Fed Decision in October?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Ask at post
- No change yes @ 84¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement