JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo v Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta
ENTRY
23¢
RESULT
+335%
CALLER
@fukangan
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 08:21 UTC
Nº 0004857R
WIN
+335%
915223318618
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #4857 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo v Pablo Carreno Busta
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Pablo Carreño Busta. Pick: Pablo Carreño Busta at 23% My Reason: Pablo Carreño Busta is a professional tennis player who has reached a career-high singles ranking of world No. 10; given these elite-level credentials, it is highly likely that P. Carreño Busta will win this match. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153203”
fukangan in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Pablo Carreno Busta @ 23¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Pablo Carreno Busta.
+3.35uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 23 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1558393915223318618open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1153203jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta"; second pick in the same message: "highly likely that P. Carreño Busta"; entry 23¢ from the order-book ask at post time; NOT COUNTED: market not trading: the book was stopped when this call landed: the game was under way and the order book had carried no trade for ten minutes while the price feed sat frozen on 22.5¢, so there was no price to take at the moment it was made; counted after the book re-opened: it stopped trading at 23¢ and started again 8 minutes later at 23¢, so the gap hid no move and the entry stands; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1153203 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta" outcome "Pablo Carreno Busta" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4857), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo v Pablo Carreno Busta
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Pablo Carreno Busta @ 23¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement