JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Team Falcons (Map 2)
ENTRY
32¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@ethanbigbrother
PLACED
2026-10-09 · 18:49 UTC
Nº 0004803R
LOSS
-100%
610255917197
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Esports · Counter-StrikeCall #4803 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Esport CS2 Stage: ESL pro league Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: Falcons beat Aurora 2–0 on October 4, winning Mirage 13–4 and Dust2 13–10. They also defeated TYLOO 2–0 the previous day. Falcons defeated Spirit 2–1 at the IEM Cologne Major playoffs in June 2026. can they pull that off again? Forecast: falcon map2 32c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150432 #nfa”
ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
Team Falcons (Map 2) @ 32¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 32¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
- Message id
1558189610255917197open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1150432jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs"; entry is the caller's stated 32¢; the order book at the post moment reads 31.4¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 5.5¢ a minute and we read it 24s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 33.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 31¢ 1s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1150432 "Map 2 Winner" outcome "Team Falcons" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4803), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Caller’s price
- Team Falcons (Map 2) @ 32¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
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