JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Fed Decision in October?
No change
ENTRY
85¢
RESULT
+18%
CALLER
@nikagelashvili
PLACED
2026-10-09 · 14:38 UTC
Nº 0004772R
WIN
+18%
409556303953
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #4772 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Fed Decision in October?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord
“Fed Decision in October? Inflation has stayed sticky above the feds target and the labor market hasnt weakened enough to force their hand.. the fed also tends to avoid surprising markets so i think they wait for more data before moving Picking No change 83c #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-606422”
nikagelashvili in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
No change @ 85¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 85¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 83¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for No change.
+0.18uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 85 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1558126409556303953open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-606422jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Fed Decision in October?"; entry 85¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 83¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-606422 "No change" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4772), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Fed Decision in October?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Ask at post
- No change @ 85¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement