JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Dota 2: Team Spirit v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Aurora +1.5 games
ENTRY
45¢
RESULT
+122%
CALLER
@BALI69
PLACED
2026-10-09 · 10:14 UTC
Nº 0004742R
WIN
+122%
001959092254
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #4742 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Dota 2: Team Spirit v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) With this draft, Aurora can take 1 game as long as Lycan gets full items. Overall, their macro draft is solid for the late game. Best of luck!!! **Don't follow this prediction—you could easily lose.** Picking Aurora +1.5 Game Handicap 45c #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154390”
BALI69 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
Aurora +1.5 games @ 45¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 45¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Aurora +1.5 games.
+1.22uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 45 − 1)
Verification details
- Message id
1558060001959092254open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1154390jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs"; entry is the caller's stated 45¢; the order book at the post moment reads 46.4¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 4.0¢ a minute and we read it 24s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 44.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1154390 "Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)" outcome "Aurora" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4742), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Dota 2: Team Spirit v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Caller’s price
- Aurora +1.5 games @ 45¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
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