China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac v Arthur Gea

Said · before resolutionSep 28, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“Beijing ATP500 Stage: 2round qualifying Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (58%) Forecast: Gea 57c Reasoning: Gea just won his Beijing qualifying match COMFORTABLY. Gea beat China's Rigele Te 6–2, 6–3 on September 28. He didn't need a deciding set, meaning he reached the final without another long physical battle. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1097377 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Arthur Gea @ 57¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedSep 29, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+0.75uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 57 − 1)

Verification details

gamma POLY-1097377 "China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea" outcome "Arthur Gea" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

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China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac v Arthur Gea

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Arthur Gea @ 57¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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