Skip to content
← Open calls/Call #3573
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
Dota 2: Team Yandex v 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
1win +1.5 games
ENTRY
43¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@.magsasaka
PLACED
2026-09-24 · 06:49 UTC
Nº 0003573R
LOSS
-100%
754845507656
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSPredictionsCall #3573 · Season 1

Dota 2: Team Yandex v 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Said · before resolutionSep 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Pick: 1win +1.5 maps @43c Confidence: CAUTIOUS. model estimate 68.00% Reason: Lean Team Yandex. Direct matched comparisons: against the same observed Natus Vincere and Team Nemesis lineups on the recorded patch in the competition, Yandex's current five went 4-0 in maps with two certified 2-0 series, while 1win went 2-4 and lost both series 1-2. Non-win/loss observations: watson's 29-map professional sample on this roster (781 GPM, ~212 tower damage/min, 2.6 deaths/map) is a material individual output signal consistent with Yandex's 71.4% first-tower and 83.3% first-barracks rates over the cached seven maps; a recorded data limitation's 6-1 prior-team sample is coverage, not transferable strength. Certified complete series since Sep 19: Yandex 3-0 (2-0, 2-0, and 2-1 vs MOUZ); 1win 3-1 (2-0 vs Hokori, 2-1 vs Conventus Stellarum, two 1-2 losses). https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1069790 #nfa #dyor”

.magsasaka in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
1win +1.5 games @ 43¢
flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way
ResolvedSep 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost. Settled by the market’s official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
gamma POLY-1069790 "Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)" outcome "1win" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
.magsasaka
rank #33 · season 1
Profile →
-12.44u
profit
42–40
record
82
graded
form · last 10
The market
Dota 2: Team Yandex v 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post
1win +1.5 games @ 43¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)