Dota 2: Team Nemesis v Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Said · before resolutionSep 23, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Pick: Team Nemesis @30c Confidence: CAUTIOUS. Model estimate 55.00%, uncalibrated. Reason : Both expected fives enter with identical recent form: 3-2 across their last five same-five maps on the recorded patch in the competition. The only like-for-like signal is the shared opponent 1w with the same observed lineup, patch, and league: Team Nemesis won its three-map set 2-1 while Conventus Stellarum lost 1-2, giving Nemesis the single matched_lineup_patch_league edge. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1065153 #nfa #dyor”

.magsasaka in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Team Nemesis @ 30¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedSep 23, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+2.33uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 30 − 1)

Verification details

gamma POLY-1065153 "Match Winner" outcome "Team Nemesis" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

.magsasaka

rank #33 · season 1

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The market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis v Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Team Nemesis @ 30¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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