Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.47u
units · 6 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (6 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-7.8%
per call · -5 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
4–2
67% of 6 (at least 30%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWWWW
W4 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports3
3–0
+1.28u
+42.7%
3
Other3
1–2
-1.75u
-58.3%
3
Season equity curve
6 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (7)
▸Counter-Strike: HOTU v GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup PlayoffsHOTU (Map 1) @ 87¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+15%win
“Pick: HOTU (Map 1)
Reasoning: HOTU has a higher win rate on Dust2 and is currently on a 3-match winning streak. GL has also never beaten HOTU in their previous H2H matches. With these advantages, HOTU is the clear favorite to win Map 1.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Spirit v Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageNatus Vincere @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+82%win
“Pick: Natus Vincere
Reasoning: Navi showed exponential play in g1 and g2. They are in their best form. I think they can maintain the flow and take the map3 a win.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸What price will Bitcoin hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)↑ 82,500 No @ 52¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+92%win
“Pick: ↑ 82,500 No
Reasoning: With the current market condition and trend, I think there is a less chance of $btc hitting 82500.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: 300-319 No
Reasoning: With the current tweets count, it is almost impossible to reach the 300ntweets in total within next 4 days.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: TheMongolz v MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageMOUZ @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+32%win
“Pick: MOUZ
Reasoning: MOUZ has beaten many top tier teams in their past matches. In face to face matches against Mongolz, they beats them in 4/5 wins too. This should be ez match for Mouz.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: 65-89 No
Reasoning: Right now, tweets count is 24. We can't expect the same numbers daily.i am pretty confident the count will be below 65 tmr.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026? 65-89 Yes 80C #nfa With less than 24 hrs left with 64 tweets so far, it can only reach the tweets of no more than 85. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1218521”
