Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing other calls only: 3 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are other. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1.75u
units · 3 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (3 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-58.3%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–2
33% of 3 (at least 6%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWWWW
W4 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Other3
1–2
-1.75u
-58.3%
3
Season Other equity curve
3 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Pick: 300-319 No
Reasoning: With the current tweets count, it is almost impossible to reach the 300ntweets in total within next 4 days.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: 65-89 No
Reasoning: Right now, tweets count is 24. We can't expect the same numbers daily.i am pretty confident the count will be below 65 tmr.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026? 65-89 Yes 80C #nfa With less than 24 hrs left with 64 tweets so far, it can only reach the tweets of no more than 85. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1218521”
