Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 3 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+1.28u
units · 3 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (3 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+42.8%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
3–0
100% of 3 (at least 44%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWWWW
W4 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports3
3–0
+1.28u
+42.7%
3
Season Esports equity curve
3 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (3)
▸Counter-Strike: HOTU v GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup PlayoffsHOTU (Map 1) @ 87¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+15%win
“Pick: HOTU (Map 1)
Reasoning: HOTU has a higher win rate on Dust2 and is currently on a 3-match winning streak. GL has also never beaten HOTU in their previous H2H matches. With these advantages, HOTU is the clear favorite to win Map 1.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Spirit v Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageNatus Vincere @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+82%win
“Pick: Natus Vincere
Reasoning: Navi showed exponential play in g1 and g2. They are in their best form. I think they can maintain the flow and take the map3 a win.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: TheMongolz v MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageMOUZ @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+32%win
“Pick: MOUZ
Reasoning: MOUZ has beaten many top tier teams in their past matches. In face to face matches against Mongolz, they beats them in 4/5 wins too. This should be ez match for Mouz.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
