Showing tennis calls only: 10 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are tennis. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+1.3u
units · 10 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (10 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+13%
per call · +9 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
8–2
80% of 10 (at least 49%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WWWWL
L1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Tennis10
8–2
+1.3u
+13%
10
Season Tennis equity curve
10 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (10)
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev v Alex de MinaurAlexander Zverev @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+52%win
“🎾 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Pick: Alexander Zverev Win In favor of Zverev • It is the #2 vs the #9, with the best record in the year (65-17 vs 45-23) and in hard (36-11 vs 29-14). He comes 9-1 in his last 10, with 1 title and 1 Grand Slam in 52 weeks, against 0 and 0 of Minaur. His serve and backhand weigh more on hard court. Historically it has beaten de Mina…”
“🎾 Djokovic (#8) vs Hurkacz (#34) Pick: Djokovic Win Djokovic arrives with 5 victories in a row, 24-8 in the season and 17-5 in hard. Hurkacz is in good form recently (8-2 in the last 10), but his season is discreet: 21-18 and 13-11 in hard. Djokovic wins. With Hurkacz's serve, the most interesting angle can be at least a tiebreak or over of games, rather than a broad handicap. #nfa https://ju…”
“🎾 Bublik (#22) vs Machac (#75) Pick: Bublik Win The most unpredictable. Bublik has 33-21 and 20-10 in hard, but comes with 2 defeats in a row and 5-5 in the last 10. Machac goes 17-18 and only 3-7 in the last 10, although he comes from winning. Bublik should be a favorite, but his irregularity opens another angle, over games or tiebreak. If its price is expensive, it's better to pass. #nfa ht…”
“🎾 Kecmanovic (#61) vs Mensik (#15) Pick: Mensik Win Mensik has 33-17 in the season and 24-11 in hard. Kecmanovic is 20-29 and 15-19 in hard, that is, negative balance in both. Matiz: Mensik comes from losing and Kecmanovic from winning. But with this difference in level, the quality weighs more than the streak. Mensik wins. It is the clearest gap of the day after Zverev. #nfa https://jup.ag…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jenson BrooksbyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+47%win
“🎾 Davidovich Fokina (#26) vs Brooksby (#102) Pick: Fokina Win Fokina won the only precedent and surpasses Brooksby in everything: 34-19 against 16-24 in the year, and 20-11 against 12-15 in hard. In the last 10 it's 7-3 against 5-5. Brooksby comes from winning, but with a negative balance in hard and in the season. Fokina wins. My confidence is high, so what decides is the price… so #nfa htt…”
Posted
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 06:39:26 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
“🎾 Hanfmann (#57) vs Tiafoe (#10) Pick: Tiafoe Win Tiafoe has 43-18 in the season and 27-12 in hard, with 7-3 in its last 10. Hanfmann is at 34-24 and 16-10 in hard. Tiafoe wins, but without overdoing it with a broad handicap. Tiafoe comes from a defeat and Hanfmann from a recent victory, so the game can be more closed than the ranking says. It's for a moderate ML, not to be aggressive. #nfa …”
“🎾 Zverev (#2) vs Wu (#113) Pick: Zverev Win Zverev arrives with 9-1 in his last 10, 62-17 in the season and 33-11 in hard. Wu has 16-14 and 14-8 in hard, and it is a game with no record. The gap is huge, so the safe moneyline pays almost nothing. My angle: Zverev winning in running sets or with game handicap. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1152126”
“🎾 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou It's his first duel. There is no history between them, so the analysis is based on level and context. Bellucci is better, but it comes from qualifying. He is the 86th in the world, left-handed, and reached the main draw after beating Ymer 4-6, 7-5, 7-6(3) and Muller 6-4, 6-2. He has 34-27 in the season and has already played three sets in the …”
“🎾 Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur De Minaur suffers against the best. It has 4-24 against top 10 since February 2024, not counting Laver Cup. It is the 8th in the world, but that brand has not improved. The history favors Djokovic. The majority gives it 3-1 in favor of the Serbian, with 1-1 on the hard court. Other reports put it 4-1 or 3-0. Pick: Djokovic Win 64c #nfa https://jup.ag/predict…”
▸Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz v Jiri LeheckaCarlos Alcaraz @ 77¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+30%win
“🎾 Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Alcaraz leads 3-1, but Lehečka already beat him in Doha 2025 and his hard court mark is 1-1. Those two tough games were three sets away. Even so, Alcaraz is the logical favorite. He has 9-0 in Tokyo, 34-4 in the year, is the defending champion, is the 3rd in the world against the 19, and wins the tie-breaks (3-0 against 0-1 of Lehečka). Pick: Alcaraz Win 77c #nf…”
