Showing crypto calls only: 1 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are crypto. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-100%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–1
0% of 1 (at least 0%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLL
L10 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Crypto1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season Crypto equity curve
1 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (7)
▸What price will Ethereum hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)yes for 2700 @ 43¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“What price will Ethereum hit in October? Taking yes for 2700 @43c Hoping the worst is behind us this month and for inverse 10/10 that leads to new monthly highs across the board #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112206”
▸What price will Bitcoin hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)yes for 85000 @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Taking yes for 85000 @76c Saylor buying knocked the bullishness out of me briefly but still think BTC has a good chance of revisiting monthly high #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112205”
▸What price will Bitcoin hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)yes for 87500 @ 77¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“What price will Bitcoin hit in October? taking yes for 87500 @77c btc just closed an epic Q3 and its uptober so 87500 looks easily within reach this month #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112205”
▸What price will Bitcoin hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)yes for 90000 @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Taking yes for 90000 @70c btc just closed an epic Q3 (one of its best ever) and 90k looks easily within reach this month #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112205”
▸What price will Ethereum hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)yes for 2900 @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“What price will Ethereum hit in October? Taking yes for 2900 @69c eth showing some strength and thinking this is more likely than current odds #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112206”
▸What price will Ethereum hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)yes for 2800 @ 89¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“What price will Ethereum hit in October? Taking yes for 2800 @89c currently not far off and looks more than 90% likely would be a sad month if it does not hit #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112206”
“What price will Ethereum hit in October? Taking no for 2300 @82c Do not think eth will go any lower than last months lows at the very worst #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112206”
