Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+0.55u
units · 2 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (2 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+27.4%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
2–0
100% of 2 (at least 34%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WW
W2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Football1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
2 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1093068 Benfica to win #nfa Benfica are at home and have scored 22 league goals in seven games, while Vitória have struggled away from home. Benfica's recent loss to Porto is a concern, but I still back the home side.”
Posted
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:19:28 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
▸Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming v Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsVitality @ 77¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+30%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159403 Vitality to win #nfa Vitality are the clear favorites in the current market, but Aurora can still make this a close series. I'm leaning toward Vitality to win the BO3, though one strong map from Aurora could change things.”
