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michel6383Rising
@michel6383 · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WWW
W3 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (0)
No graded season calls yet. The record starts with the first graded call.
Past calls (3)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
SS Lazio v AC MonzaSS Lazio @ 56¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+79%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1094765 My call = Lazio to win #nfa Lazio is playing at home and has beeen solid so far this season, with a few good results in a row. I think they have enough to get the job done, though a draw is always possible. Hope im right buybof course #nfa Good luck!”
- Posted
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 09:37:39 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for SS Lazio.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz @ 95¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+5%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153204 My call = Carlos Alcaraz to win #nfa Alcaraz is on another level on hard courts, with his power, speed and variety HE Is the tournament favorite. Cerundolo is a solid clay player, but I don't see him matching Alcaraz's pace over a full match here. Just my read. #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 09:07:06 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Carlos Alcaraz.
China Open: Mirra Andreeva v Nikola BartunkovaMirra Andreeva @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+43%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154310 Mirra Andreeva to win #nfa She's the clear favorite and I like how consistent she is from the baseline. Bartunkova can make it uncomfortable at times as She Is very strong, but over a full match I expect Andreeva's level and experience to show. Just my take and Hope its correcto #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 09 Oct 2026 14:14:53 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Mirra Andreeva.