Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record · 1 last-day call on a match after the close counts in Season 3
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+5.06u
units · 10 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (10 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+50.6%
per call · +11 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
6–4
60% of 10 (at least 31%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WWLWW
W2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports6
4–2
+5.72u
+95.3%
6
Basketball3
1–2
-1.7u
-56.7%
3
Baseball1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
10 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (5)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Trail Blazers v Jazznot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and azetrom34 called this first (call #7104, 2026-10-31 14:14 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Trail Blazers @ 74¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+35%win
“Pick: Trail Blazers
Reasoning: NBA: Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz
Utah is 1-4, has lost three straight at home and ranks near the bottom of the league in forcing turnovers, so Portland should get plenty of clean possessions.
The Blazers have Avdija, Lillard and Holiday as their top scorers and are favoured by about 6.5 points, while the Jazz's frontcourt is banged up. I expect Portland to w…”
▸LoL: LOS v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and raabkaa called this first (call #7090, 2026-10-31 13:00 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)LYON (Game 1) @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: LYON (Game 1)
Reasoning: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage
LYON has pushed Gen.G and Invictus Gaming to three games and beaten both Team Secret Whales and Karmine Corp, so its résumé is the stronger of the two.
LOS has two clean 2-0 wins, but over a winless Secret Whales and a Team Liquid side that was already in trouble. I expect LYON's experience to decide a best-of-three.
Pick…”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and raabkaa called this first (call #7089, 2026-10-31 12:58 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Karmine Corp (Game 1) @ 57¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+75%win
“Pick: Karmine Corp (Game 1)
Reasoning: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage
Karmine Corp is coming off a 2-0 sweep of CFO, while Movistar KOI was swept 0-2 by T1 in its last series, so the momentum favours KC.
KC also won three of the last five meetings, including 3-0 in Spring Playoffs and 3-2 in the LEC Versus, so it has answers for KOI's style. I back KC to reach the qu…”
Posted
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 13:04:13 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp (Game 1).
▸LoL: Vitality Rising Bees v Mental Rush (BO5) - LGC Rising PlayoffsVitality Rising Bees (Game 1) @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+64%win
“Pick: Vitality Rising Bees (Game 1)
Reasoning: LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs Mental Rush (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs
Vitality Rising Bees has won the last two series against Mental Rush, both 2-0, and swept G2 HEL 3-0 and Good Chi Sakura 2-0 in this playoff run.
Mental Rush has taken the close five-game series between them, but VRB's recent form and its experience in best-of-fives give it the edge…”
Posted
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 07:10:28 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Vitality Rising Bees (Game 1).
“Pick: Team Liquid (Game 1)
Reasoning: LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage
Team Liquid survived its elimination match by beating Anyone's Legend 2-0, and it faces a LOS team that lost to T1 and G2 before beating Secret Whales.
Liquid's losses were to CFO and Bilibili, both tougher opponents than LOS has beaten, and the LCS has the stronger record against CBLOL. I lean Liquid in an e…”
“Pick: T1
Reasoning: LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Swiss Stage
T1 has three world titles in the last few years and rarely panics in a must-win BO1, which counts for a lot at 1-1.
CFO has been the more aggressive side and beat T1 at Worlds 2025, but T1 has the deeper international experience. I lean T1 in a close one.
Picking T1
#nfa
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Milwaukee Brewers
Reasoning: MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays - World Series
Milwaukee leads the series 2-0 and has already come back from behind seven times this postseason, including a four-run deficit in Game 2.
Its bullpen has been very strong in October, while the Rays have wasted chances in both games. I expect the Brewers to keep the momentum going.
Picking Brewers 50c
#nfa
…”
“NBA: Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Golden State is on the second night of a back-to-back, so Curry and Green may not get their usual minutes. Phoenix is the better-rested side and is favored by several points. I like the Suns here. Picking Suns #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1210115”
