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hourglasspdxRising
@hourglasspdx · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 1From-zero season record (ended) · Jul 22 to Sep 30 · earlier calls at the bottom · Season 3 record
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
W
W1 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (0)
No graded season calls yet. The record starts with the first graded call.