Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing sports calls only: 1 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are sports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+0.75u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+75.4%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–0
100% of 1 (at least 21%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
W
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season Sports equity curve
1 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“NBA Pick: Trail Blazers ML First game of regular season, suns are nothing to be excited about. Blazers have a large advantage size wise with Clingan and RWilliams + stand out shooters. Game is also @ home in Portland so should be a great crowd showing. Share Price: 57c (disc from open @ 60c) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192658 #nfa”
