Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1.52u
units · 18 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (18 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-8.4%
per call · -5 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
12–6
67% of 18 (at least 44%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLWWW
W3 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Football8
7–1
+1.07u
+13.4%
8
Esports7
4–3
-1.08u
-15.4%
7
American football2
1–1
—
—
2 · under 3
Basketball1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
18 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (21)
▸Pistons v Netsnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and nexasxw called this first (call #6935, 2026-10-30 09:53 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Pistons @ 75¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+33%win
“Pick: Pistons
Reasoning: Pistons superior recent form and roster strength over Nets. Market consensus aligns with Pistons as clear frontrunner for the win.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Le Havre AC v Paris Saint-Germain FCnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and nexasxw called this first (call #6885, 2026-10-30 06:28 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Paris Saint-Germain FC @ 75¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+33%win
“Pick: Paris Saint-Germain FC
Reasoning: Recent continuity and resources give PSG clear advantagedge exists in betting PSG win over draw or home win due to consistent away dominance.PSG last five: win vs Nice, win vs Lens, win vs Lyon, win vs Marseille, win vs Monaco. 1 minor injury, minimal impact.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 15:11:08 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
▸Counter-Strike: BIG v Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsBIG @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: BIG
Reasoning: BIG is favored at 61% on Polymarket. Has beaten Eteranl twice in the past and has a 4 to 1 record.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Dota 2: Team Liquid v Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Liquid @ 88¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+14%win
“Pick: Team Liquid
Reasoning: Liquid's tier advantage and consistent historical dominance against lower-tier opponents provide clear edge. Appears to be a easy win for Liquid
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Invictus Gaming v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageInvictus Gaming (Game 1) @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“Pick: Invictus Gaming (Game 1)
Reasoning: This is supported by IG's stronger recent form, superior roster depth, and consistent ability to close series against weaker opposition
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:01:42 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Invictus Gaming (Game 1).
“Pick: FC Internazionale Milano
Reasoning: Inter’s 72.5¢ under priced the historical 75-85 % road-win rate against newly promoted clubs. Odd appear in Inter,s favor
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 10:38:48 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for FC Internazionale Milano.
▸Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports v Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsInner Circle Esports (Map 1) @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“Pick: Inner Circle Esports (Map 1)
Reasoning: ICE: 4-1 record in last five matches (beat Nemesis 2-0, beat Wildcard 2-1. % in ICE favor..
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 10:27:40 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Inner Circle Esports (Map 1).
“Pick: Pacers
Reasoning: Herro indicating Bucks may struggle offensively. Pacers slight favorites based on recent form and home/away dynamics
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Dota 2: Team Spirit v PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group BTeam Spirit @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+72%win
“Pick: Team Spirit
Reasoning: Data consistency across high-volume markets supports Spirit. Sprit favorite by % and fans. Spirit no injuries so far so good.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Reasoning: Benfica's superior squad depth, historical dominanc I think will give them the win in this one, as well as having 75% on it..
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:13:02 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
▸Counter-Strike: G2 v DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageG2 (Map 1) @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: G2 (Map 1)
Reasoning: G2 enters with strong form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches against competitive opponents. Alos, has % upside.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Cowboys
Reasoning: Cowboys' offensive volume and Eagles' injury concerns. Cowboys seem to have the upper hand better performance and less injuries going inot game.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: 49ers
Reasoning: 49ers already got a lead and they hold a 4 to 1 record. Seem to be favored and no injuries
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports @ 74¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Hanwha Life Esports
Reasoning: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stagesuperior
Hanwah has better form and dominance compared to IG's LPL inconsistency. 4 to1 is a go recoed on Hanwha is a win win..
Picking Hanwha
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Olympiakós SFP v AC Sparta Prahanot counted: entry 91.2¢ above the 90¢ maximumOlympiakós SFP @ 91.2¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+10%win
“Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha Olympiakós SFP at 90.5% to win, already got 1 goal. Olympiakos got 4 wins and Sparta got 3. Already a clear % advantage Picking Olympiakos #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160448”
“AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lisboa to win. Edge exists in backing the clear frontrunner over draw or home win options. Already a clear % advantage Picking Lisboa #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160465”
Posted
Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:21:54 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
“TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais TSG to win . Hoffenheim: 4 wins, 1 draw in last five vs Lyonnais loss record, percenages in Hoff's favor Picking Hoffenheim #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160458”
“Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC Trabzonspor definatly favored, they hold 4 wins 1 loss vs H. losses. with better % and home favorite. Picking Trabzonspor for win #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1155386”
“Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz Picking Sporting CP for the win they hod a better technical team, home advatage and percentages in their favor. a overall better team. Picking Sporting CP #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154828”
“Dota 2: Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig Madrid. Picking madrid due to home advantage is key in this one, home advatage has been there go to win in the past Picking Team Real Madrid #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154823”
