Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 7 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1.08u
units · 7 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (7 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-15.4%
per call · -10 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
4–3
57% of 7 (at least 25%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWWWW
W4 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports7
4–3
-1.08u
-15.4%
7
Season Esports equity curve
7 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (7)
▸Counter-Strike: BIG v Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsBIG @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: BIG
Reasoning: BIG is favored at 61% on Polymarket. Has beaten Eteranl twice in the past and has a 4 to 1 record.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Dota 2: Team Liquid v Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Liquid @ 88¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+14%win
“Pick: Team Liquid
Reasoning: Liquid's tier advantage and consistent historical dominance against lower-tier opponents provide clear edge. Appears to be a easy win for Liquid
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Invictus Gaming v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageInvictus Gaming (Game 1) @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“Pick: Invictus Gaming (Game 1)
Reasoning: This is supported by IG's stronger recent form, superior roster depth, and consistent ability to close series against weaker opposition
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 14:01:42 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Invictus Gaming (Game 1).
▸Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports v Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsInner Circle Esports (Map 1) @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“Pick: Inner Circle Esports (Map 1)
Reasoning: ICE: 4-1 record in last five matches (beat Nemesis 2-0, beat Wildcard 2-1. % in ICE favor..
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 10:27:40 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Inner Circle Esports (Map 1).
▸Dota 2: Team Spirit v PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group BTeam Spirit @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+72%win
“Pick: Team Spirit
Reasoning: Data consistency across high-volume markets supports Spirit. Sprit favorite by % and fans. Spirit no injuries so far so good.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: G2 v DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageG2 (Map 1) @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: G2 (Map 1)
Reasoning: G2 enters with strong form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches against competitive opponents. Alos, has % upside.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports @ 74¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Hanwha Life Esports
Reasoning: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stagesuperior
Hanwah has better form and dominance compared to IG's LPL inconsistency. 4 to1 is a go recoed on Hanwha is a win win..
Picking Hanwha
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
