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eststradaRising
@eststrada · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLL
L3 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (0)
No graded season calls yet. The record starts with the first graded call.
Past calls (4)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
Sporting CP v LASK LinzSporting CP @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz pick : Sporting win 78c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154828 Supporting Sporting CP is a highly rational choice as they are heavily favored with a 78% win probability, compared to LASK Linz's 9%. Their consistent high trend on the chart reflects superior squad depth, tactical quality, and overall performance, making a regulation-time victory very likely #NFA”
- Posted
- Wed, 21 Oct 2026 14:35:58 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Paris Saint-Germain FC v FC BarcelonaDraw @ 22¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149399 Draw 22c #nfa PSG has been very strong lately, but Barca is also a team that plays well; I think it will end in a draw during the group stage”
- Posted
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 20:49:27 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
EPL: 2027 ChampionArsenal @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 69.5¢pending
“EPL: 2027 Champion Arsenal vs Man. City Arsenal is a good team, and they will employ a well thought out strategy, although winning the match might be tough, i am confident Arsenal will win. picking Arsenal 63¢ #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-659518”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:40:56 UTC
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v SV Werder BremenBV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 72¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen In my opinion, Dortmund will win easily, especially since they are playing at Dortmund's stadion and Dortmund has a very solid team picking Dortmund Winner 72¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1083681”
- Posted
- Fri, 09 Oct 2026 17:39:27 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.