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aurora.gura
@aurora.gura · every call recorded, losses included
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing crypto calls only: 1 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are crypto. Form covers every call.
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LL
L2 streak
Season Crypto equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Open calls (1)
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?$500M yes @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 95.1¢pending
“Im leaning towards $200M+ FDV for Predict.fun one day after launch. If the hype is strong and buyers keep coming in, $300M–$500M isnt impossible Still, launch hype can fade fast so anything can happen DYOR! #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-214405”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 09:12:58 UTC
Season record (1)
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETnot counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 2 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)Down @ 45¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“$DOGE Up or Down 15m https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153676 $DOGE looks bearish in the short term. Sellin pressure remains strong and further downside is possible over the next 15 minutes My bias: DOWN but a sudden bounce could invalidate the setup #nfa”
- Posted
- Fri, 09 Oct 2026 13:11:12 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.