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Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
apacxRising
@apacx · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.43u
units · 3 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (3 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-14.3%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
2–1
67% of 3 (at least 21%)
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLWLW
W1 streak
| Sport | Record | Units | ROI | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis2 | 1–1 | — | — | 2 · under 3 |
| Football1 | 1–0 | — | — | 1 · under 3 |
Season equity curve
3 graded
Season record (3)
Almaty Open: Tomas Machac v Karen KhachanovKaren Khachanov @ 71¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+41%win
“Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov wins He has a much better gameplay, rank and also defeated him previously. Odds to win are quite good as well. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1229027”
- Posted
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 05:45:51 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Karen Khachanov.
Almaty Open: Terence Atmane v Mattia BellucciMattia Bellucci @ 53¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci Mattia Bellucci wins Time for him to come back and beat him https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1229025 #nfa for some reasons my calls are not being recorded”
- Posted
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 05:40:15 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Manchester City FC v AEKManchester City FC @ 86¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+16%win
“Should be an easy W Manchester City FC vs. AEK Manchester City FC wins https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149349 #nfa Should be an easy W Manchester City FC vs. AEK Manchester City FC wins https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1149349 #nfa”
- Posted
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:52:40 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Manchester City FC.
Past calls (45)
Earlier calls, including Season 1: see the Season 1 record and the Hall of Fame. Calls after Season 2: the Season 3 record.
Brentford FC v Chelsea FCBrentford FC No @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC Brentford FC no reasoning that the opponent team is really good and has performed much better then them https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-967958 #nfa”
- Posted
- Fri, 18 Sep 2026 19:01:27 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v SC Paderborn 07BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 76.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+31%win
“BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins they gave me merch so I am supporting them for this match (🔴 🔴 🔴 ) #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-934150”
- Posted
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:34:13 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for BV Borussia 09 Dortmund.
Liverpool FC v Fulham FCLiverpool FC @ 65¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC Liverpool FC wins stronger and better team #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-934152 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins they gave me merch so I am supporting them for this match (🔴 🔴 🔴 ) #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-934150”
- Posted
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:31:33 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Sunderland AFC v Arsenal FCArsenal FC @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC Arsenal FC wins Better gameplay and record winner against them #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-934178 Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC Liverpool FC wins stronger and better team #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-934152”
- Posted
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30:51 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Arsenal FC.
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka v Elena RybakinaAryna Sabalenka @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Aryna Sabalenka wins world champion gets the victory again #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1002537 Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC Arsenal FC wins Better gameplay and record winner against them #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-934178”
- Posted
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:28:55 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Club Atlético de Madrid v Real Madrid CFReal Madrid CF @ 52¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF Real Madrid CF wins MBappe is there to lead them to victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-981053 The upcoming guy is a piece of cake for him”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:12:39 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Elche CF v Real Madrid CFReal Madrid CF @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+28%win
“Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF Real Madrid CF wins MBappe is there to lead them to victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-952084 Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF Real Madrid CF wins MBappe is there to lead them to victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-981053”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:12:07 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Real Madrid CF.
Real Madrid CF v Rayo Vallecano de MadridReal Madrid CF @ 89¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+12%win
“Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Madrid CF wins MBappe is there to lead them to victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-940186 Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF Real Madrid CF wins MBappe is there to lead them to victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-952084”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:11:33 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Real Madrid CF.
FC Barcelona v Real Racing ClubFC Barcelona @ 91¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+10%win
“FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club FC Barcelona wins Yamal leads the match #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-957879 Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Madrid CF wins MBappe is there to lead them to victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-940186”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:10:20 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for FC Barcelona.
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe v Ben SheltonBen Shelton @ 74¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+35%win
“US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton wins better gameplay and won more matches head to head against him #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-993326 Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona FC Barcelona wins Yamal leads the match #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-940190”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:07:55 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Ben Shelton.
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev v Karen KhachanovAlexander Zverev @ 80¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+25%win
“US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Alexander Zverev wins more experienced and better hand in the game #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-997636 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton wins better gameplay and won more matches head to head against him #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-993326”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:06:46 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Alexander Zverev.
Inter Miami CF v Nashville SCInter Miami CF @ 53¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC Inter Miami CF wins Messi leads the victory #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-936873 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Alexander Zverev wins more experienced and better hand in the game #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-997636”
- Posted
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:05:55 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini v Stan WawrinkaMatteo Berrettini @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+28%win
“US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka Matteo Berrettini wins Much better gameplay #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924371”
- Posted
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 21:50:26 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Matteo Berrettini.
US Open ATP: Arthur Fery v Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti @ 77¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+30%win
“US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Lorenzo Musetti wins Seen his plays, great guy to vouch for #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924343”
- Posted
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 21:49:08 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Lorenzo Musetti.
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone v Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic wins The legend is back #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924372”
- Posted
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 21:47:19 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar v Thanasi KokkinakisRafael Jodar @ 86¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)void
“US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Rafael Jodar wins Amazing Right handed player #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924344”
- Posted
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 21:45:35 UTC
- Outcome
- Voided: the market did not settle as a win or a loss, so the call scores 0.
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana v Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli @ 80¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+25%win
“US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli Seeing in Ws from a long time #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924360”
- Posted
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 21:43:57 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Flavio Cobolli.
Al Ittihad Saudi Club v Al Nassr Saudi ClubAl Nassr Saudi Club @ 43.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club Al Nassr Saudi Club wins CR7 is there to beat everyone #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-891412”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 21:43:04 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Al Nassr Saudi Club v Al Taawoun Saudi ClubAl Nassr Saudi Club @ 79.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+26%win
“Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club Al Nassr Saudi Club wins CR7 is there #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-850041”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 21:41:42 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Al Nassr Saudi Club.
Inter Miami CF v CF MontréalInter Miami CF @ 68.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+46%win
“Inter Miami CF vs. CF Montréal Inter Miami CF wins Messi GOAT 🐐 #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-859796”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 21:38:17 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Inter Miami CF.
Real Betis Balompié v Real Madrid CFReal Madrid CF @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF Real Madrid CF wins #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-888703”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 21:32:45 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano de MadridFC Barcelona @ 82¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+22%win
“FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid FC Barcelona will win #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-869322”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:31:51 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for FC Barcelona.
FC Barcelona v Athletic ClubFC Barcelona @ 79¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+27%win
“FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club FC Barcelona will win #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-847257”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:26:45 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for FC Barcelona.
SE Palmeiras v Santos FCSantos FC @ 12¢ → sold 13¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+8%win
“SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC Santos FC will Win This is a **very very risky bet** do not gamble a lot. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-843732”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:16:52 UTC
- Outcome
- Closed early by the caller at 13¢, +1¢ on the 12¢ entry.
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club v Al Nassr Saudi ClubAl Nassr Saudi Club @ 76.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+31%win
“Today’s match Al Nassr Club to win Al Nassr to win and they have CR7 in the team and a better performance as well. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-835228”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 10:16:15 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Al Nassr Saudi Club.
Elche CF v FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona @ 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+37%win
“Yamal is there, big W already as they will win FC Barcelona wins #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-826000”
- Posted
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:14:03 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for FC Barcelona.
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli v Yannick HanfmannFlavio Cobolli @ 57¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-794244 Winner: Cobolli is the best player #nfa”
- Posted
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:36:37 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
National Bank Open: James Duckworth v Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur @ 89¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+12%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-794233 Winner: Alex de Minaur Won 2 times before as win. Easy W for him #nfa”
- Posted
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:29:46 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Alex de Minaur.
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka v Vit KoprivaJiri Lehecka @ 82¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+22%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-794237 Winner: Jiri Lehecka The winner is in front of you #nfa”
- Posted
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:27:39 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Jiri Lehecka.
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang v Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-794217 Winner: Andrey Rublev The world will be 1 day behind if he loses <:huhcat:1239864406641479691> #nfa”
- Posted
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:22:13 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech v Leolia JeanjeanMagdalena Frech @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-784563 Community Vote: 89% winning chance Ranking: She is ranks 48 globally Winner: Magdalena Frech #nfa”
- Posted
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 15:03:33 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Magdalena Frech.
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia v Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-784535 Community Vote: 88% winning chance Ranking: He is ranks 63 globally Winner: Martin Landaluce #nfa”
- Posted
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 14:58:52 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini v Mariano NavoneMatteo Berrettini @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779918 Community Vote: 88% winning chance Ranking: He is ranks 41 globally Winner: Matteo Berrettini #nfa”
- Posted
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 14:57:33 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Canadian Open: Jaume Munar v Rinky HijikataJaume Munar @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+85%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779914 Community Vote: 78% winning chance Ranking: He is ranks 43 globally Winner: Jaume Munar #nfa”
- Posted
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 16:06:49 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Jaume Munar.
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar v Liam DraxlDaniel Merida Aguilar @ 56¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+79%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779895 Community Vote: 83% winning chance Ranking: He is ranks 61 globally Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar #nfa”
- Posted
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 16:05:29 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Daniel Merida Aguilar.
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron NorrieCameron Norrie @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+28%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779922 Community Vote: 83% winning chance Ranking: He is ranks 39 globally Winner: Cameron Norrie #nfa”
- Posted
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:54:43 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Cameron Norrie.
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno BorgesNuno Borges @ 61.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+63%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779924 Community Vote: 82% winning chance Ranking: He is ranks 49 globally Winner: Nuno Borges #nfa”
- Posted
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:52:32 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Nuno Borges.
Canadian Open, Qualification: Adam Walton v Justin BoulaisAdam Walton @ 85.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+17%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779860 Community Vote: 92% winning chance Ranking: He is ranked 96 globally **Winner: Adam Walton** #nfa”
- Posted
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:48:16 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Adam Walton.
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula v Diana ShnaiderJessica Pegula @ 77.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+29%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-779819 Community Vote: 84% winning chance Ranking: She is ranked 3 globally **Winner: Jessica Pegula** #nfa”
- Posted
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:46:34 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Jessica Pegula.
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Naomi OsakaNaomi Osaka @ 84.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+18%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-770941 Winner: Naomi Osaka #nfa”
- Posted
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 13:58:32 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Naomi Osaka.
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula v Anna KalinskayaJessica Pegula @ 72.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+38%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-774390 Winner: Jessica Pegula #nfa”
- Posted
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 13:56:37 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Jessica Pegula.
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong v Jenson BrooksbyJenson Brooksby @ 63.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-770952 Winner: Jenson Brooksby”
- Posted
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 19:28:51 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz v Alex MichelsenTaylor Fritz @ 66.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+50%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-770947 Winner: Taylor Fritz”
- Posted
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 19:25:39 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Taylor Fritz.
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie v Bernard TomicCameron Norrie @ 70.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+42%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-771881 Winner: Cameron Norrie #nfa”
- Posted
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 19:24:06 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Cameron Norrie.
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert v Ben SheltonBen Shelton @ 65.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+53%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-766537 Winner: B. Shelton #nfa”
- Posted
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 19:22:54 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Ben Shelton.