Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-100%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–1
0% of 1 (at least 0%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
1 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Pick: Jazz
Reasoning: NBA: Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz
Memphis plays the second night of a back-to-back after its late game in California, and now has to play at altitude in Utah.
The Jazz are at home with more rest and a lineup of Markkanen, George and Peterson that scores in bunches. I lean Utah in a close one.
Picking Jazz
#nfa
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
