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0xjohntysonRising
@0xjohntyson · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LW
W1 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (1)
Bulls v 76ersnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the call76ers @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“Pick: 76ers Reasoning: NBA: Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia is 6-1 on a three-game winning streak, with Maxey averaging 29.6 points and the fifth-best defensive rating in the NBA at 104.1. Picking 76ers #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 09:49:24 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for 76ers.
Past calls (1)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
Grizzlies v JazzJazz @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Jazz Reasoning: NBA: Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz Memphis plays the second night of a back-to-back after its late game in California, and now has to play at altitude in Utah. The Jazz are at home with more rest and a lineup of Markkanen, George and Peterson that scores in bunches. I lean Utah in a close one. Picking Jazz #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 13:39:15 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.