Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 11 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1.91u
units · 11 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (11 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-17.4%
per call · -13 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
5–6
45% of 11 (at least 21%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLLWL
L1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports11
5–6
-1.91u
-17.4%
11
Season Esports equity curve
11 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (11)
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Hanwha Life Esports
Reasoning: both teams play so bad on swiss, but HLE 2-0'd G2 on their last match, which is pretty much a strong team, but still a banger matchup inacoming but im bidding on HLE
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Karmine Corp
Reasoning: Elimination match LEC elimination match, i think KC is a more stacked team here, so it is very doable
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: LOS +1.5
Reasoning: LOS has been an underdog this swiss, so much upset potential, they took down TLAW which is the #1 seed on LCS
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: fnatic v Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffsfnatic @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: fnatic
Reasoning: fnatic is currently on its peak form, they are the strongest on this tournament, EF might be able to take a map but match winner should be FNATIC
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Nemiga v Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsNemiga +1.5 maps @ 43¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+133%win
“Pick: Nemiga +1.5
Reasoning: +1.5 on nemiga, their match against FUT yesterday was a masterclass, dthe current dark horse of the tournament, vitality not having apex as igl can be a good chance to take a map for Nemiga. also FUT beat Vitality meanwhile Nemiga beat FUT dominantly with a 2-0 score, a one map win is doable for Nemiga here
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: MOUZ v FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsMOUZ @ 60¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: MOUZ
Reasoning: banger game ahead, will bid on a more stable and reliable macro overall, furia is a strong team but they tend to choke on the most important times, meanwhile MOUZ has been giving us resilience even on a losing game against Spirit few days ago, i think MOUZ is the better team here
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: TheMongolz v Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: TheMongolz
Reasoning: Mongolz had a really good run this tourna, i think they finally stabilize after months of finding the best chamistry for the lineup
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Spirit v MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSpirit @ 56¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Spirit
Reasoning: Pretty close game, but im betting on donk. Donk pop off = auto win, this can go sideways but if u based it on individual skills Spirit has the upperhand
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Liquid v Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageLiquid +1.5 maps @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+72%win
“Pick: Liquid +1.5
Reasoning: Liquid +1.5 here, liquid's run lately is solid, they somehow become a more systematic team, they beat MOUZ 2-1 (which was at some point became one of the top teams on recent tourna) and LEGACY(where they also beating top teams on the recent tournaments). So winning a map against Aurora who can choke a game is pretty doable
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend @ 75¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Anyone's Legend
Reasoning: I trust AL's mid-jungle overall macro more, I think they have a better control of the game especially on elimination pressure
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
