Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-10.04u
units · 68 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (68 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-14.8%
per call · -9 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
28–40
41% of 68 (at least 30%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports36
16–20
-0.56u
-1.6%
36
Basketball28
9–19
-10.85u
-38.7%
28
Football2
1–1
—
—
2 · under 3
Tennis2
2–0
—
—
2 · under 3
Season equity curve
68 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (5)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 2 legs22.96¢ · win pays +3.36uTeam Liquid -1.5 games · Over 2.5 gamesTraded on Jupiter-1.00uLost
counts: combo 1 of 15 in week 5
Leg 1Team Liquid -1.5 games @ 56¢Team Liquid v LOS · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3Traded on Jupiterlostdecided it
Leg 2Over 2.5 games @ 41¢Hanwha Life Esports v G2 Esports · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3lost
▸LoL: Team Liquid v LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and larryejobs called this first (call #6470, 2026-10-27 07:09 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Team Liquid (Game 1) @ 66¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Team Liquid (Game 1)
Reasoning: High risk comp by TL, crazy ults for Sylas. Could be a massive stomp if they get a bit ahead.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and Ecstasya called this first (call #6503, 2026-10-27 17:45 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Team Liquid -1.5 games @ 56¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Team Liquid -1.5
Reasoning: TL's last serie was impressive. LOS is not good that's a fact. They should win this easily.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: GenOne v BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 PlayoffsGenOne @ 60¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: GenOne
Reasoning: Strong performance on their pick, and they're not bad on 2nd map (Cache). A clean 2-0 might be possible.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Over 221.5
Reasoning: Those guys are shooting and hitting. Maybe a bit close but 221.5 isn't that much of a stretch.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Trail Blazers -3.5
Reasoning: Portland has been very strong. Sure Gizzlies had good games, but not against good teams.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Grizzlies v Trail Blazersnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and Buddy called this first (call #6818, 2026-10-29 16:07 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Trail Blazers @ 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Trail Blazers
Reasoning: Trailblazers have been very good recently. Winning against the Gizzlies shouldn't be too hard making those odds ok.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Cavaliers v Hawksnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and nexasxw called this first (call #6687, 2026-10-29 05:08 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Cavaliers @ 38¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Cavaliers
Reasoning: Cavs aren't down that much, and they seem to be playing find. Good odds to enter.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageCTBC Flying Oyster (Game 2) @ 27¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: CTBC Flying Oyster (Game 2)
Reasoning: A bit of a stretch on this one, but if CFO takes a game, I think it's game 2. Really depends on the coaching staff.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 82¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+22%win
“Pick: Karmine Corp
Reasoning: KC should win this, probably the strongest EUW team atm. They've also been performing pretty well since worlds started.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageOver 2.5 games @ 41¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+144%win
“Pick: Over 2.5 games
Reasoning: While BLG IS the stronger team, TES isn't bad either. Going for 3 games is good at this price.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Bilibili Gaming
Reasoning: BLG is a better team, a title contender team. They should take this fairly easily.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming (Game 1) @ 70¢ → sold 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-1%loss
“Pick: Bilibili Gaming (Game 1)
Reasoning: BLG is a stronger team, title contender, they should win this pretty easily if they draft properly.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:48:52 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 69¢, -1¢ on the 70¢ entry.
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp (Game 1) @ 74¢ → sold 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-1%loss
“Pick: Karmine Corp (Game 1)
Reasoning: KC should win this without a doubt, although CFO might still take a game, one at best.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:47:01 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 73¢, -1¢ on the 74¢ entry.
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend -1.5 games @ 47¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Anyone's Legend -1.5
Reasoning: TL are pretty awful and AL are supposed to be top tier. Their start was bad, but they should pick up the pieces.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 30¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Karmine Corp
Reasoning: KC are not as bad as the odds. It's not KC favored, but the odds make it worth it.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Grizzlies
Reasoning: Grizzlies is a way stronget team, shouldn't be close especially since they already got a lead
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Warriors
Reasoning: The Suns have been absolutely horrendous recently, while Warriors sure also lost, but they put up a fight of some sort. Odds don't seem fair here.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1203776 Picking Trailblazers at 69c Surprised they're down in score, 69c might the best price we can get unless that I actually end up losing lol. They have a good roster, kings are kings. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1203772 Picking rockets at 41c. Damn this season is a bit weird to me so far, hopefully it'll get better. Rockets had a good first game, straight opposite for the spurs. Hopefully Wemby is still asleep. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202600 PIcking knicks at 42c. Mostly an even game, and I usually like when. the knicks are even by q4, they're a good clutch time team. #NFA”
▸LoL: Team Secret Whales v LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLYON @ 64¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+56%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214245 Picking Lyon at 60c I prefer their draft, although TSW's isn't that bad. Can be a close game, but Lyon is a stronger team overall, if they take their time it should work out. #NFA”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageCTBC Flying Oyster @ 40¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+150%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214239 Picking CFO at 40c Liquid IS better, but CFO had a decent early and if they survive I prefer their comp late game. It's a gamble, but not impossible. #NFA”
▸LoL: G2 Esports v Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageG2 Esports @ 40¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214242 Picking G2 at 40c Same thesis as KC really, they're a top tier EU team, they have a lot of worlds experience, if MKOI can win, KC can, so G2 can. Do it for the memes at least. #NFA”
▸LoL: Anyone's Legend v Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 32¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+213%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214241 Picking KC at 32c They do have a chance if they play and their peak level. We just saw MKOI do the impossible and KC's chances were better to begin with. Make Europe great again. #NFA”
▸LoL: Galions v Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions @ 47¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+113%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192325 picking galions at 47c last game, they just threw the last one for the content, they're still better and harpoon will gap. #NFA”
▸LoL: Galions v Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions -1.5 games @ 38¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192325 Picking Galions -1.5 at 38c. Both teams are good but Galions have been doing better and better overtime while Solary has been doing the opposite and been a bit shaky in general. Will be a good serie. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192657 Picking Warriors at 14c Same thesis as the suns. Down 14 at half time (with luka just doing luka things to close the first half). Unless they do a suns kinda run after they can come back. #NFA”
▸Suns v Trail Blazersnot counted: entry 7¢ below the 10¢ minimumSuns @ 7¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192658 Picking suns at 7c What in the flying fuck is this start of the season 😂 Extremely rough start for the suns, but it's only q1, a lot can happen in 3 quarters. Hopefully they can get it together, they're not that bad of a team. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1191468 Picking Pelicans at 29c. Close game with a small Pacers lead. It's really anyone's game still, 29c is a decent 60/40 price. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1186925 Picking spurs at 50c Wemby and friends are always fun to watch and can often pull impressive games. It's against OKC, after the semis there is some rivality so I expect a close game where both team try their hardest. Please don't let the two finalist disappoint me on the first day 🤣 #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185701 Picking Knicks at 28c. The -4.5 is probably doomed, but the Knicks are known for clutch time, if a team can come back it's them. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185701 Picking Knicks -4.5 at 52c. Not a super safe play, but I'm a brunson enjoyer. They're already leading and the knicks (well brunson) mostly shine later. #NFA”
▸LoL: MVK Esports v FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InFURIA Esports (Game 2) @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202539 Picking Furia game 2 at 54c. MVK already tried kog mid, he did fine but I wasn't convinced they were any good with it. Hope they don't prove me wrong. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128447 Picking over 2.5 at 55c. I'm not a soccer guy, but the guy sitting next to me on the plane is watching it so I am too. He said 2.5 is looking good here 🤣. #NFA”
▸LoL: MVK Esports v FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InFURIA Esports -1.5 games @ 46¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202539 Picking Furia -1.5 at 46c A bit more of a gamble, but they've been doing decent. I'm not expecting a dominated serie but they should have the upper hand #NFA”
▸LoL: BNK FEARX v Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBNK FEARX (Game 4) @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1194255 Picking Fearx game 4 at 62c Stronger team in general, I wanted to call -1.5 but was stuck without internet. They should be able to close this série 3-1. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162068 I pick Bucks at 44c Bucks just tied, and I think their bench is a bit better than the Pacers, they've been fighting hard to come back during q3 and q4. #NFA”
▸LoL: MVK Esports v Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-InKarmine Corp -2.5 games @ 41¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+144%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1197460 Picking KC -2.5 at 41c. Sure they had a disgusting performance last night, but if they perform at their real skill level, 3-0 shouldn't be too hard. #NFA”
Posted
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:54:33 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp -2.5 games.
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162056 Picking magic at 58c. They've been performing pretty well during this preseason, they seem to be hungry to prove something after their disgusting last playoff game #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1156611 Picking Knicks at 62c. Just the usual preaseason gamble. I like the knicks, they're playing at home and they gotta win at some point. The Raptors will also probably rest their starters more. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167259 Picking KC at 56c. Game 4 is looking to be in their favor, hoping the lock in and turn it around. Don't let na win 🤣 #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1189304 Picking Francesco Passaro @ 80c. He already won the first game. He looks confident and might be able to just win it cleanly. I also need a safe call for reasons. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1140252 Picking Knicks at 49c. Rough start for them during this preseason, but they're at home and their game was still very close. Preseason gamble. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1140250 Picking ATL Hawks -3.5 at 57c. They're having a pretty good start, and unlike okc, they had a pretty good last match. PReaseason gamble. #NFA”
▸LoL: BNK FEARX v JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBNK FEARX -1.5 games @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153957 Picking BNK FEARX -1.5 at 60c After that last game, there are high chances that JDG are a bit tilted. FEARX were already the favorites, but now I believe they have the mental advantage. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1135624 Picking Nuggets -7.5 at 50c. As always, preseason gamble, but Jokic is playing, can quickly become a one sided stomp. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1134319 Picking magic at 36c Magic had a decent first game, unlike the cavs. Really depends if and how long the starters are playing, so it's basically 50/50, which makes 36c a good entry. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095781 Picking Rennais at 54c. I also hate footbal but Ecstasya believes in his team, and I believe in him. Not taking -1.5 like a freak tho #NFA”
Posted
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:16:17 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Stade Rennais FC 1901.
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Frances TiafoeAlejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 44¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+127%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162948 Calling Fokina at 44c. Tiafoe is having a disgusting performance while Fokina is doing alright, so for a 50/50 mor or less, 44c is pretty decent. #NFA”
Posted
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 14:40:33 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1129232 Picking spurs -3.5 at 62c I'm just a spurs maxi, no real thought into this, although the odds tell me they're quite the favorites. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127874 Picking Hawks at 60C Rough start but they're doing a very good come back. If they keep playing like this they'll just widen the gap. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127878 Picking Clippers @ 37c Not a fan of neither team, but on paper, I prefer the Clipper's roster. And it's preaseason, legit everything is a coinflip at this point. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150349 Taking SLY game 4 at 73c. Their comp is better, overall having a better bo5, if kcb sucked, they can it pull it off. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150349 Picking SLY -1.5 @ 52c Same thesis as KCB but they're are just a little less shit. Very gambly play, but in the end, SLY should be the better team, they just need to stop fucking around. #NFA”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Anubis Gaming (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150292 Picking KCB @ 66c They pretty much ran down the first game, but it's still KCB, they should win the bo5 so this is a good entry price. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1121869 I pick Bulls at 53c It's preseason and it's a bit of shit show. I do think the Bulls have a slightly better chance of winning, althoug it really depends on the starter's play time and who will foul the most (thanks to the new rule...) #NFA”
▸LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix v TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsTLN Pirates (Game 4) @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1144701 Picking TLNPIR game 4 at 51c. Their draft is scaling better into the game and they managed to survive the early, they will do it imo and go into game 5. #NFA”
▸LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix v TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsTLN Pirates (Game 3) @ 22.6¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+342%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1144701 Picking TLNPIR game 3 at 18c. Their draft is scale a lot better late game. If they manage to survive the early game, they can maybe do it, especially given the fluctuation in the odds (7 min delay...) #NFA”
Posted
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 19:11:13 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for TLN Pirates (Game 3).
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1111337 Picking Suns at 57c Suns seem to be outperforming the bulls so far at almost half time. Although a very small lead, it's what I expected getting into this game and it can hopefully snowball during Q3. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1111338 Picking Timberwolves at 62c. They look better as a team overall to me, even if it's a close game. I think they should get a good lead during this Q3. #NFA”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue (Game 3) @ 84¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+19%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138796 Picking KCB Game 3 @ 77c I'm really feeling a 3-0, Yukino and Nafkelah are performing like crazy, and it's already looking pretty good. #NFA”
Posted
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 17:47:23 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp Blue (Game 3).
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue -2.5 games @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138796 Picking KCB -2.5 @ 62c. After that stomp by KCB and given SC's draft, it's gonna be super tough for them to grab a win. #NFA”
Posted
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:46:00 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp Blue -2.5 games.
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue -1.5 games @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“PIcking KCB -1.5c @ 69c. Overall pretty free, KCB has been performing well recently while Skillcamp has really be struggling for the past month. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138796 #NFA”
Posted
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 15:43:25 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp Blue -1.5 games.
“Picking Hornets @ 62c. I'm not too familiar with the new comps this season, my first time watching a game since last the play offs, but on paper I prefer Hornet's roster. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1106106 #NFA”
▸Valorant: NPC Team v Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event PlayoffsNPC Team @ 15¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861935 i pick NPC team at 15c bcoz why npc couldnt make it #NFA”
