Showing sports calls only: 32 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are sports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-9.48u
units · 32 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (32 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-29.6%
per call · -13 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
12–20
38% of 32 (at least 23%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball28
9–19
-10.85u
-38.7%
28
Football2
1–1
—
—
2 · under 3
Tennis2
2–0
—
—
2 · under 3
Season Sports equity curve
32 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Pick: Over 221.5
Reasoning: Those guys are shooting and hitting. Maybe a bit close but 221.5 isn't that much of a stretch.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Trail Blazers -3.5
Reasoning: Portland has been very strong. Sure Gizzlies had good games, but not against good teams.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Grizzlies v Trail Blazersnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and Buddy called this first (call #6818, 2026-10-29 16:07 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Trail Blazers @ 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Trail Blazers
Reasoning: Trailblazers have been very good recently. Winning against the Gizzlies shouldn't be too hard making those odds ok.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Cavaliers v Hawksnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and nexasxw called this first (call #6687, 2026-10-29 05:08 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Cavaliers @ 38¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Cavaliers
Reasoning: Cavs aren't down that much, and they seem to be playing find. Good odds to enter.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Grizzlies
Reasoning: Grizzlies is a way stronget team, shouldn't be close especially since they already got a lead
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Warriors
Reasoning: The Suns have been absolutely horrendous recently, while Warriors sure also lost, but they put up a fight of some sort. Odds don't seem fair here.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1203776 Picking Trailblazers at 69c Surprised they're down in score, 69c might the best price we can get unless that I actually end up losing lol. They have a good roster, kings are kings. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1203772 Picking rockets at 41c. Damn this season is a bit weird to me so far, hopefully it'll get better. Rockets had a good first game, straight opposite for the spurs. Hopefully Wemby is still asleep. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202600 PIcking knicks at 42c. Mostly an even game, and I usually like when. the knicks are even by q4, they're a good clutch time team. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192657 Picking Warriors at 14c Same thesis as the suns. Down 14 at half time (with luka just doing luka things to close the first half). Unless they do a suns kinda run after they can come back. #NFA”
▸Suns v Trail Blazersnot counted: entry 7¢ below the 10¢ minimumSuns @ 7¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192658 Picking suns at 7c What in the flying fuck is this start of the season 😂 Extremely rough start for the suns, but it's only q1, a lot can happen in 3 quarters. Hopefully they can get it together, they're not that bad of a team. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1191468 Picking Pelicans at 29c. Close game with a small Pacers lead. It's really anyone's game still, 29c is a decent 60/40 price. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1186925 Picking spurs at 50c Wemby and friends are always fun to watch and can often pull impressive games. It's against OKC, after the semis there is some rivality so I expect a close game where both team try their hardest. Please don't let the two finalist disappoint me on the first day 🤣 #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185701 Picking Knicks at 28c. The -4.5 is probably doomed, but the Knicks are known for clutch time, if a team can come back it's them. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185701 Picking Knicks -4.5 at 52c. Not a super safe play, but I'm a brunson enjoyer. They're already leading and the knicks (well brunson) mostly shine later. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1128447 Picking over 2.5 at 55c. I'm not a soccer guy, but the guy sitting next to me on the plane is watching it so I am too. He said 2.5 is looking good here 🤣. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162068 I pick Bucks at 44c Bucks just tied, and I think their bench is a bit better than the Pacers, they've been fighting hard to come back during q3 and q4. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162056 Picking magic at 58c. They've been performing pretty well during this preseason, they seem to be hungry to prove something after their disgusting last playoff game #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1156611 Picking Knicks at 62c. Just the usual preaseason gamble. I like the knicks, they're playing at home and they gotta win at some point. The Raptors will also probably rest their starters more. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1189304 Picking Francesco Passaro @ 80c. He already won the first game. He looks confident and might be able to just win it cleanly. I also need a safe call for reasons. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1140252 Picking Knicks at 49c. Rough start for them during this preseason, but they're at home and their game was still very close. Preseason gamble. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1140250 Picking ATL Hawks -3.5 at 57c. They're having a pretty good start, and unlike okc, they had a pretty good last match. PReaseason gamble. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1135624 Picking Nuggets -7.5 at 50c. As always, preseason gamble, but Jokic is playing, can quickly become a one sided stomp. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1134319 Picking magic at 36c Magic had a decent first game, unlike the cavs. Really depends if and how long the starters are playing, so it's basically 50/50, which makes 36c a good entry. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095781 Picking Rennais at 54c. I also hate footbal but Ecstasya believes in his team, and I believe in him. Not taking -1.5 like a freak tho #NFA”
Posted
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:16:17 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Stade Rennais FC 1901.
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Frances TiafoeAlejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 44¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+127%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1162948 Calling Fokina at 44c. Tiafoe is having a disgusting performance while Fokina is doing alright, so for a 50/50 mor or less, 44c is pretty decent. #NFA”
Posted
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 14:40:33 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1129232 Picking spurs -3.5 at 62c I'm just a spurs maxi, no real thought into this, although the odds tell me they're quite the favorites. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127874 Picking Hawks at 60C Rough start but they're doing a very good come back. If they keep playing like this they'll just widen the gap. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127878 Picking Clippers @ 37c Not a fan of neither team, but on paper, I prefer the Clipper's roster. And it's preaseason, legit everything is a coinflip at this point. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1121869 I pick Bulls at 53c It's preseason and it's a bit of shit show. I do think the Bulls have a slightly better chance of winning, althoug it really depends on the starter's play time and who will foul the most (thanks to the new rule...) #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1111337 Picking Suns at 57c Suns seem to be outperforming the bulls so far at almost half time. Although a very small lead, it's what I expected getting into this game and it can hopefully snowball during Q3. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1111338 Picking Timberwolves at 62c. They look better as a team overall to me, even if it's a close game. I think they should get a good lead during this Q3. #NFA”
“Picking Hornets @ 62c. I'm not too familiar with the new comps this season, my first time watching a game since last the play offs, but on paper I prefer Hornet's roster. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1106106 #NFA”
