Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 36 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.56u
units · 36 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (36 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-1.5%
per call · -5 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
16–20
44% of 36 (at least 30%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports36
16–20
-0.56u
-1.6%
36
Season Esports equity curve
36 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (5)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 2 legs22.96¢ · win pays +3.36uTeam Liquid -1.5 games · Over 2.5 gamesTraded on Jupiter-1.00uLost
counts: combo 1 of 15 in week 5
Leg 1Team Liquid -1.5 games @ 56¢Team Liquid v LOS · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3Traded on Jupiterlostdecided it
Leg 2Over 2.5 games @ 41¢Hanwha Life Esports v G2 Esports · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3lost
▸LoL: Team Liquid v LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and larryejobs called this first (call #6470, 2026-10-27 07:09 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Team Liquid (Game 1) @ 66¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Team Liquid (Game 1)
Reasoning: High risk comp by TL, crazy ults for Sylas. Could be a massive stomp if they get a bit ahead.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and Ecstasya called this first (call #6503, 2026-10-27 17:45 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Team Liquid -1.5 games @ 56¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Team Liquid -1.5
Reasoning: TL's last serie was impressive. LOS is not good that's a fact. They should win this easily.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: GenOne v BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 PlayoffsGenOne @ 60¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: GenOne
Reasoning: Strong performance on their pick, and they're not bad on 2nd map (Cache). A clean 2-0 might be possible.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageCTBC Flying Oyster (Game 2) @ 27¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: CTBC Flying Oyster (Game 2)
Reasoning: A bit of a stretch on this one, but if CFO takes a game, I think it's game 2. Really depends on the coaching staff.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 82¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+22%win
“Pick: Karmine Corp
Reasoning: KC should win this, probably the strongest EUW team atm. They've also been performing pretty well since worlds started.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageOver 2.5 games @ 41¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+144%win
“Pick: Over 2.5 games
Reasoning: While BLG IS the stronger team, TES isn't bad either. Going for 3 games is good at this price.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Bilibili Gaming
Reasoning: BLG is a better team, a title contender team. They should take this fairly easily.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming (Game 1) @ 70¢ → sold 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-1%loss
“Pick: Bilibili Gaming (Game 1)
Reasoning: BLG is a stronger team, title contender, they should win this pretty easily if they draft properly.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:48:52 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 69¢, -1¢ on the 70¢ entry.
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp (Game 1) @ 74¢ → sold 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-1%loss
“Pick: Karmine Corp (Game 1)
Reasoning: KC should win this without a doubt, although CFO might still take a game, one at best.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:47:01 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 73¢, -1¢ on the 74¢ entry.
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend -1.5 games @ 47¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Anyone's Legend -1.5
Reasoning: TL are pretty awful and AL are supposed to be top tier. Their start was bad, but they should pick up the pieces.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 30¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Karmine Corp
Reasoning: KC are not as bad as the odds. It's not KC favored, but the odds make it worth it.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Team Secret Whales v LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLYON @ 64¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+56%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214245 Picking Lyon at 60c I prefer their draft, although TSW's isn't that bad. Can be a close game, but Lyon is a stronger team overall, if they take their time it should work out. #NFA”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageCTBC Flying Oyster @ 40¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+150%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214239 Picking CFO at 40c Liquid IS better, but CFO had a decent early and if they survive I prefer their comp late game. It's a gamble, but not impossible. #NFA”
▸LoL: G2 Esports v Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageG2 Esports @ 40¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214242 Picking G2 at 40c Same thesis as KC really, they're a top tier EU team, they have a lot of worlds experience, if MKOI can win, KC can, so G2 can. Do it for the memes at least. #NFA”
▸LoL: Anyone's Legend v Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 32¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+213%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214241 Picking KC at 32c They do have a chance if they play and their peak level. We just saw MKOI do the impossible and KC's chances were better to begin with. Make Europe great again. #NFA”
▸LoL: Galions v Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions @ 47¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+113%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192325 picking galions at 47c last game, they just threw the last one for the content, they're still better and harpoon will gap. #NFA”
▸LoL: Galions v Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions -1.5 games @ 38¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1192325 Picking Galions -1.5 at 38c. Both teams are good but Galions have been doing better and better overtime while Solary has been doing the opposite and been a bit shaky in general. Will be a good serie. #NFA”
▸LoL: MVK Esports v FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InFURIA Esports (Game 2) @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202539 Picking Furia game 2 at 54c. MVK already tried kog mid, he did fine but I wasn't convinced they were any good with it. Hope they don't prove me wrong. #NFA”
▸LoL: MVK Esports v FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InFURIA Esports -1.5 games @ 46¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202539 Picking Furia -1.5 at 46c A bit more of a gamble, but they've been doing decent. I'm not expecting a dominated serie but they should have the upper hand #NFA”
▸LoL: BNK FEARX v Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBNK FEARX (Game 4) @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1194255 Picking Fearx game 4 at 62c Stronger team in general, I wanted to call -1.5 but was stuck without internet. They should be able to close this série 3-1. #NFA”
▸LoL: MVK Esports v Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-InKarmine Corp -2.5 games @ 41¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+144%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1197460 Picking KC -2.5 at 41c. Sure they had a disgusting performance last night, but if they perform at their real skill level, 3-0 shouldn't be too hard. #NFA”
Posted
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:54:33 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp -2.5 games.
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167259 Picking KC at 56c. Game 4 is looking to be in their favor, hoping the lock in and turn it around. Don't let na win 🤣 #NFA”
▸LoL: BNK FEARX v JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBNK FEARX -1.5 games @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153957 Picking BNK FEARX -1.5 at 60c After that last game, there are high chances that JDG are a bit tilted. FEARX were already the favorites, but now I believe they have the mental advantage. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150349 Taking SLY game 4 at 73c. Their comp is better, overall having a better bo5, if kcb sucked, they can it pull it off. #NFA”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150349 Picking SLY -1.5 @ 52c Same thesis as KCB but they're are just a little less shit. Very gambly play, but in the end, SLY should be the better team, they just need to stop fucking around. #NFA”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Anubis Gaming (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150292 Picking KCB @ 66c They pretty much ran down the first game, but it's still KCB, they should win the bo5 so this is a good entry price. #NFA”
▸LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix v TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsTLN Pirates (Game 4) @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1144701 Picking TLNPIR game 4 at 51c. Their draft is scaling better into the game and they managed to survive the early, they will do it imo and go into game 5. #NFA”
▸LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix v TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsTLN Pirates (Game 3) @ 22.6¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+342%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1144701 Picking TLNPIR game 3 at 18c. Their draft is scale a lot better late game. If they manage to survive the early game, they can maybe do it, especially given the fluctuation in the odds (7 min delay...) #NFA”
Posted
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 19:11:13 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for TLN Pirates (Game 3).
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue (Game 3) @ 84¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+19%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138796 Picking KCB Game 3 @ 77c I'm really feeling a 3-0, Yukino and Nafkelah are performing like crazy, and it's already looking pretty good. #NFA”
Posted
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 17:47:23 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp Blue (Game 3).
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue -2.5 games @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+61%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138796 Picking KCB -2.5 @ 62c. After that stomp by KCB and given SC's draft, it's gonna be super tough for them to grab a win. #NFA”
Posted
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:46:00 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp Blue -2.5 games.
▸LoL: Karmine Corp Blue v Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue -1.5 games @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“PIcking KCB -1.5c @ 69c. Overall pretty free, KCB has been performing well recently while Skillcamp has really be struggling for the past month. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138796 #NFA”
Posted
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 15:43:25 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp Blue -1.5 games.
▸Valorant: NPC Team v Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event PlayoffsNPC Team @ 15¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861935 i pick NPC team at 15c bcoz why npc couldnt make it #NFA”
