Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 1 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+0.59u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+58.7%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–0
100% of 1 (at least 21%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWLWW
W2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season Esports equity curve
1 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (1)
▸Counter-Strike: Spirit v Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSpirit (Map 2) @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+59%win
“Pick: Spirit (Map 2)
Reasoning: dust 2 best map donk will not go home losing 2-0 to na vi
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
