Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record · 2 last-day calls on a match after the close count in Season 3
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-5.53u
units · 13 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (13 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-42.5%
per call · -19 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
5–8
38% of 13 (at least 18%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLWWW
W3 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball6
2–4
-3.49u
-58.2%
6
Football5
2–3
-1.47u
-29.4%
5
Other1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Other sports1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
13 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (1)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 2 legs31.80¢ · win pays +2.14uWizards · Manchester City FC-1.00uLost
counts: combo 1 of 15 in week 5
Leg 1Wizards @ 53¢Hornets v Wizards · NBAwon
Leg 2Manchester City FC @ 60¢Manchester City FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC · Premier Leaguelostdecided it
“Pick: Heat
Reasoning: The Miami Heat will defeat the Indiana Pacers because Giannis Antetokounmpo’s dominant presence and home-court advantage will overwhelm a short-handed Indiana squad missing star playmaker Tyrese Haliburton.
Heat is hot at the moment just like El Nino lol...
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Rockets
Reasoning: The Houston Rockets has been undefeated and they will defeat the Dallas Mavericks because Kevin Durant elite scoring efficiency and Houston’s superior roster depth will overwhelm Cooper Flagg’s solo offensive efforts.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Tottenham Hotspur FC
Reasoning: Tottenham will win the match because they hold strong momentum from back-to-back Premier League victories
, while Crystal Palace struggle with a porous defense, conceding nineteen goals already this season.
Tothhem is hot at the moment
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 23:48:06 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Tottenham Hotspur FC.
“Pick: Coventry City FC No
Reasoning: Sunderland is slightly favored to win due to momentum from their midweek 3-2 cup victory over Brentford. Bookmakers give them a 41% implied win probability against struggling Coventry.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Chelsea FC
Reasoning: Chelsea is predicted to beat Manchester United because of superior recent Premier League form, high squad morale under Enzo Maresca, and United's struggles with defensive consistency this season.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Aston Villa FC
Reasoning: Aston Villa is predicted to win against Fulham because of their superior recent Premier League form, an excellent head-to-head record at Villa Park, and a rested first-team core
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Knicks v 76ersnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and nexasxw called this first (call #6797, 2026-10-29 15:35 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)76ers @ 47¢ → sold 46¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-2%loss
“Pick: 76ers
Reasoning: The 76ers will beat the Knicks due to their elite "Big Four" star power, including LeBron James. The Thunder will defeat the 76ers with superior depth and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's unmatched efficiency.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 10:49:29 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 46¢, -1¢ on the 47¢ entry.
“Pick: Spurs
Reasoning: The San Antonio Spurs will win. Victor Wembanyama's squad is heavily favoured against a severely depleted Utah Jazz team missing critical frontcourt anchors tonight.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Timberwolves
Reasoning: The Minnesota Timberwolves are favored to win because they boast a strong 3–1 start and superior frontcourt depth, while the Golden State Warriors struggle at 0–3
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Lakers
Reasoning: The Los Angeles Lakers will win tonight because of Home-court advantage and Luka Doncic’s unstoppable, league-leading offense will simply overwhelm Portland's vulnerable backcourt defence
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Timberwolves
Reasoning: Minnesota carries a perfect 3-0 momentum into Cleveland. Their league-leading defensive rating and dominant perimeter shooting will stifle and frustrate the struggling Cavaliers.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Benjamin Netanyahu @ 28¢ → sold 40¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+43%win
“Pick: Benjamin Netanyahu
Reasoning: A divided opposition can't unite behind one leader; his loyal religious and far-right base stays united; a Knesset deadlock lets him govern without a majority.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:32:36 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 40¢, +12¢ on the 28¢ entry.
“Pick: Real Madrid CF No
Reasoning: Real Madrid's tactical discipline, elite midfield control, and clinical counter-attacking chemistry will exploit Barcelona's high defensive line and secure a decisive victory tonight
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
