Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record · 2 last-day calls on a match after the close count in Season 3
Showing basketball calls only: 6 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are basketball. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-3.49u
units · 6 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (6 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-58.1%
per call · -30 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
2–4
33% of 6 (at least 10%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLWWW
W3 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball6
2–4
-3.49u
-58.2%
6
Season Basketball equity curve
6 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Pick: Heat
Reasoning: The Miami Heat will defeat the Indiana Pacers because Giannis Antetokounmpo’s dominant presence and home-court advantage will overwhelm a short-handed Indiana squad missing star playmaker Tyrese Haliburton.
Heat is hot at the moment just like El Nino lol...
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Rockets
Reasoning: The Houston Rockets has been undefeated and they will defeat the Dallas Mavericks because Kevin Durant elite scoring efficiency and Houston’s superior roster depth will overwhelm Cooper Flagg’s solo offensive efforts.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Knicks v 76ersnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and nexasxw called this first (call #6797, 2026-10-29 15:35 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)76ers @ 47¢ → sold 46¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-2%loss
“Pick: 76ers
Reasoning: The 76ers will beat the Knicks due to their elite "Big Four" star power, including LeBron James. The Thunder will defeat the 76ers with superior depth and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's unmatched efficiency.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 10:49:29 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 46¢, -1¢ on the 47¢ entry.
“Pick: Spurs
Reasoning: The San Antonio Spurs will win. Victor Wembanyama's squad is heavily favoured against a severely depleted Utah Jazz team missing critical frontcourt anchors tonight.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Timberwolves
Reasoning: The Minnesota Timberwolves are favored to win because they boast a strong 3–1 start and superior frontcourt depth, while the Golden State Warriors struggle at 0–3
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Lakers
Reasoning: The Los Angeles Lakers will win tonight because of Home-court advantage and Luka Doncic’s unstoppable, league-leading offense will simply overwhelm Portland's vulnerable backcourt defence
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Timberwolves
Reasoning: Minnesota carries a perfect 3-0 momentum into Cleveland. Their league-leading defensive rating and dominant perimeter shooting will stifle and frustrate the struggling Cavaliers.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
